{"id":7687,"date":"2025-05-13T18:01:50","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T17:01:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kriptodnevnik.com\/?p=7687"},"modified":"2025-05-13T18:01:50","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T17:01:50","slug":"citanje-kripto-ciklusa-jesmo-li-pred-novim-zaokretom-trzista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/2025\/05\/13\/citanje-kripto-ciklusa-jesmo-li-pred-novim-zaokretom-trzista\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010citanje kripto ciklusa: Jesmo li pred novim zaokretom tr\u017ei\u0161ta?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Kripto tr\u017ei\u0161ta su dinami\u010dna, \u010desto nepredvidiva, ali nikada bez obrasca. Iako svaki bull run izgleda kao novo poglavlje u financijskoj povijesti, podloga ostaje ista \u2013 cikli\u010dna narav tr\u017ei\u0161ta, pregrijana euforija i kona\u010dna korekcija. Danas, kada se Bitcoin stabilizira iznad 60.000 dolara, a tr\u017ei\u0161te \u010deka regulatorni vjetar u le\u0111a poput ETH ETF-a, pravo je vrijeme za hladnu glavu i pregled povijesnih lekcija.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bull runovi su mo\u0107ni \u2013 ali imaju rok trajanja<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n

\u201cCryptocurrency bull runs capture the global financial narrative with their dramatic ascents, yet every surge ultimately finds its limit.\u201d
\u2014 Vugar Usi Zade, Bitget COO<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Bilo da govorimo o 2013. kada je BTC sko\u010dio s 145 na preko 1.200 dolara, 2017. kada je divlja spekulacija dovela do razine od 20.000 dolara, ili o epskom valu 2020\u20132021., svi ovi ciklusi dijele istu to\u010dku prijeloma \u2013 trenutak kad tr\u017ei\u0161te prelazi iz stanja euforije u realnost. Taj prijelaz ne dolazi iz vedra neba. On je najavljen nizom signala koje \u010desto ignoriramo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tehni\u010dki i on-chain signali: Kad tr\u017ei\u0161te po\u010dne \u0161aptati umor<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n

\u201cParabolic price movements\u2026 frequently precede a sharp downturn.\u201d
\u201cDivergence between price and trading volume\u2026 suggests weakening buying pressure.\u201d
\u2014 Vugar Usi Zade<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Dana\u0161nje tr\u017ei\u0161te pokazuje prve znakove zasi\u0107enja: volumen se ne kre\u0107e u skladu s rastom cijena, RSI za Bitcoin i vode\u0107e altcoine ulazi u zonu pretjerane kupnje, a parabolni uzorci u zadnjih \u0161est mjeseci sve vi\u0161e podsje\u0107aju na obrazac \u201cprevi\u0161e, prebrzo\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No ono \u0161to blockchain \u010dini posebnim je njegova transparentnost. On-chain podaci ne la\u017eu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cWhen the majority of holders are sitting on substantial unrealized profits\u2026 the incentive to take profits may intensify.\u201d
\u2014 Vugar Usi Zade<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Visok NUPL i MVRV Z-score ukazuju da su mnogi ulaga\u010di duboko u profitu, \u0161to povijesno \u010desto prethodi \u017eelji za realizacijom dobiti i po\u010detku korekcije. U tom smislu, blockchain postaje ne samo tr\u017ei\u0161te, ve\u0107 ogledalo kolektivne psihologije.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Makro pritisci: Tihi ubojice bull marketa<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n

\u201cBull runs typically thrive in environments characterized by low interest rates and abundant liquidity.\u201d
\u2014 Vugar Usi Zade<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Danas se nalazimo u makroekonomskom okru\u017eenju koje ne pogoduje nastavku neograni\u010denog rasta. FED i ECB jo\u0161 nisu signalizirali potpuni pivot prema popu\u0161tanju monetarne politike, a globalna likvidnost ostaje oskudna. U takvom okviru, kripto ostaje na milost i nemilost vanjskim pritiscima: geopoliti\u010dkim tenzijama, regulacijama, pa i stanju ameri\u010dkog tehnolo\u0161kog sektora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cThe conclusion of a crypto bull run is rarely attributable to a single factor but rather emerges from a confluence\u2026\u201d
\u2014 Vugar Usi Zade<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Upravo ta \u201ckonvergencija\u201d \u2014 tehni\u010dkog zasi\u0107enja, makro stezanja i emocionalnog pregrijavanja \u2014 ono je \u0161to naj\u010de\u0161\u0107e ozna\u010dava vrh ciklusa. Ne jedan doga\u0111aj, nego njihov skup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaklju\u010dak: Pripremiti se, a ne pani\u010dariti<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\n

\u201cRemaining vigilant to the recurring red flags can empower investors to navigate the transition\u2026 potentially safeguarding profits and preparing for the next cycle of growth.\u201d
\u2014 Vugar Usi Zade<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Pouka nije da treba sve prodati. Nego da treba biti svjestan dinamike. Oni koji uo\u010davaju promjene u sentimentu \u2013 institucionalni investitori koji smanjuju izlo\u017eenost, rani ulaga\u010di koji povla\u010de kapital, manjak svje\u017eeg retail interesa \u2013 imaju prednost. Jer svaki ciklus ima svoj kraj, ali i po\u010detak sljede\u0107eg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U ovom trenutku nismo u panici, ali nismo ni na po\u010detku novog vala. Negdje smo izme\u0111u. I upravo tu, izme\u0111u straha i pohlepe, le\u017ei najva\u017enija odluka svakog ozbiljnog ulaga\u010da.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kripto tr\u017ei\u0161ta su dinami\u010dna, \u010desto nepredvidiva, ali nikada bez obrasca. Iako svaki bull run izgleda kao novo poglavlje u financijskoj […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[32,35,18],"tags":[679,418,45],"class_list":["post-7687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins-vijesti","category-bitcoin-vijesti","category-news","tag-bitget","tag-bull","tag-kripto"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7687"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7687\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sputnet.com.ng\/dnevnik\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}